Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.003913 0.004289 0.004693 0.005159 0.005684 0.006259 0.006937
2025-09-07 0.003278 0.003799 0.004399 0.005144 0.006053 0.007134 0.008531
2025-09-14 0.002996 0.003605 0.004339 0.005300 0.006540 0.008108 0.010275
2025-09-21 0.002686 0.003323 0.004118 0.005201 0.006662 0.008599 0.011429
2025-09-28 0.002443 0.003092 0.003928 0.005104 0.006750 0.009028 0.012522
2025-10-05 0.002278 0.002943 0.003823 0.005099 0.006949 0.009612 0.013893
2025-10-12 0.002172 0.002862 0.003798 0.005194 0.007289 0.010424 0.015705
2025-10-19 0.002031 0.002719 0.003672 0.005128 0.007375 0.010855 0.016956
2025-10-26 0.001922 0.002612 0.003586 0.005110 0.007529 0.011396 0.018457
2025-11-02 0.001809 0.002491 0.003470 0.005034 0.007578 0.011766 0.019701
2025-11-09 0.001737 0.002425 0.003430 0.005070 0.007806 0.012454 0.021618
2025-11-16 0.001651 0.002331 0.003342 0.005020 0.007885 0.012887 0.023108
2025-11-23 0.001544 0.002203 0.003196 0.004873 0.007796 0.013033 0.024099
2025-11-30 0.001475 0.002130 0.003133 0.004859 0.007940 0.013628 0.026133
2025-12-07 0.001447 0.002118 0.003164 0.005004 0.008382 0.014839 0.029724
2025-12-14 0.001373 0.002028 0.003063 0.004912 0.008376 0.015166 0.031373
2025-12-21 0.001304 0.001944 0.002966 0.004821 0.008361 0.015472 0.033027
2025-12-28 0.001257 0.001893 0.002921 0.004817 0.008512 0.016140 0.035707
2026-01-04 0.001231 0.001873 0.002926 0.004906 0.008856 0.017266 0.039815
2026-01-11 0.001180 0.001809 0.002854 0.004844 0.008886 0.017698 0.042147
2026-01-18 0.001140 0.001762 0.002808 0.004827 0.009008 0.018356 0.045271
2026-01-25 0.001094 0.001703 0.002736 0.004757 0.009008 0.018724 0.047622
2026-02-01 0.001067 0.001675 0.002719 0.004790 0.009235 0.019670 0.051991